Home page About me Thoughts for the weekend // Romania //The World My guests Contact

Will emerging markets be the source of the next crisis?

Published at: 28-11-2021

Posted on: November 28th, 2021 by RaduC No Comments

After a long period of “blue sky” when any sign of a dark cloud was removed by the extremely low central bank interest rates and by investors’ frantic exhilaration (irrational, some would venture to say), emerging markets have started to become a serious cause for concern. Firstly, the overall macroeconomic landscape is about to turn […]

Moody’s tells us on whom should we pin our hopes

Published at: 17-10-2021

Posted on: October 17th, 2021 by RaduC No Comments

Following decisions expected with some concern, Standard&Poor’s and Moody’s rating agencies have reaffirmed Romania’s rating. The concern was coming from the fact that a lower rating would have downgraded us to the non-investment grade category (junk). Such a label would have made financing the government deficit both more challenging and expensive and would have significantly […]

The gift Gazprom received

Published at: 12-09-2021

Posted on: September 12th, 2021 by RaduC No Comments

The gas market crisis in Romania, despite the existing reserves in the Black Sea, makes us wonder if the situation was avoidable and how quickly it will be resolved. In order to shed light on these issues, I invited this week Mr. Dumitru Chisalita, university professor, president of the Smart Energy Association, oil and gas […]

Will America betray its allies?

Published at: 28-08-2021

Posted on: August 28th, 2021 by RaduC No Comments

Much has already been said and much ink has been spilled about the rushed and poorly planned American pullout from Afghanistan. And rightly so. There is a large consensus that the withdrawal could have been gradual, better organized and more mindful of all those who have supported NATO forces all these 20 years. Unfortunately, though, […]

How short will the memory of Capital be?

Published at: 23-07-2021

Posted on: July 23rd, 2021 by RaduC No Comments

(R*) Much is being written about the impact that the pandemic is set to have on globalization and about international capital relocation. It refers to a return to regionalization, to the detriment of globalization, a process whereby people who put their money in China first, and in other corners of the developing  world, will bring […]

In the eye of the storm

Published at: 20-06-2021

Posted on: June 20th, 2021 by RaduC No Comments

We are increasingly convinced that we have left the pandemic behind. What was worse is now behind us and returning to normal life is just a matter of time. We are so convinced, that willingness to vaccinate is going down in most countries which until recently had massive vaccination rollouts. Romania is no exception, but […]

The Great Reset or the Great Hysteria?

Published at: 05-03-2021

Posted on: March 5th, 2021 by RaduC No Comments

In the past year a ghost has been haunting the public debate. Its name is “The Great Reset”, a concept talked about ever since the 2020 World Economic Forum (WEF) at Davos. It subsequently became the preferred topic of conspiracy theories. The ball was pushed rolling in this direction by political groups and media outlets […]

Finance Ministry thanks the Central Bank

Published at: 24-01-2021

Posted on: January 24th, 2021 by RaduC No Comments

The Finance Ministry thanked the Central Bank for its policy to devalue the RON, the national currency. “The Central Bank, as an independent institution sets its own policies, but a weaker RON will definitely have a positive impact on our country’s exports” stated the Finance Ministry official. What impression would this statement leave on you? […]

Inflation is undervalued

Published at: 17-01-2021

Posted on: January 17th, 2021 by RaduC No Comments

The latest inflation reports made newspapers say “The crisis has brought inflation to almost the best rate for the Romanian economy”, and analysts note that “The annual consumer price dynamics slowed down from 2.14% in November to 2.06% in December, the lowest since September 2017”. Indeed, the crisis, due to rock-bottom consumer spending, has taken […]

Central banks are betraying the cause. Why?

Published at: 27-12-2020

Posted on: December 27th, 2020 by RaduC No Comments

Central banks seem more and more inclined to reinvent the role they play in the economy. Their boldness is a result of the fact that, faced with the dramatic turn of events during the 2008 crisis they shattered all taboos which has failed to generate the negative impact foreseen by the economic theory. That only […]

I want to be notified about new articles concerning Romania ,

Loading

or The World

Loading